Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 355.049781 402.371131 454.775079 517.305966 590.141411 672.600740 773.444755
2025-11-23 280.131245 340.965549 414.243036 509.770371 632.124587 785.082360 993.132808
2025-11-30 242.925648 309.690951 394.668033 512.211840 672.882788 888.201029 1204.392699
2025-12-07 212.345260 280.667115 371.477189 503.182036 692.975082 962.363860 1384.377319
2025-12-14 190.834915 260.110496 355.669616 500.074866 718.063574 1043.756999 1584.849551
2025-12-21 168.861327 236.021287 331.533619 480.884922 715.325664 1081.254932 1720.928797
2025-12-28 160.308248 229.936235 332.132773 497.740607 768.649918 1211.733011 2030.257910
2026-01-04 153.622853 225.707143 334.674048 517.299552 828.041814 1359.746976 2396.695162
2026-01-11 143.984331 215.923535 327.450555 519.883947 858.758312 1462.180786 2697.552554
2026-01-18 132.958902 202.919993 313.761245 509.897241 865.829080 1522.351337 2926.169140
2026-01-25 123.301883 191.259151 301.116276 500.146079 871.695013 1580.356974 3160.395375
2026-02-01 118.899481 187.769289 301.619050 513.389407 921.535489 1730.239947 3622.426885
2026-02-08 111.864719 179.502890 293.572124 510.840233 941.873923 1826.270306 3990.299318
2026-02-15 104.841834 170.734073 283.935853 504.375183 953.762649 1906.881847 4341.592238
2026-02-22 99.847922 165.060741 279.233397 506.675092 983.582440 2030.695485 4830.049543
2026-03-01 93.720455 156.919731 269.364222 497.771828 988.495198 2098.925438 5189.083191
2026-03-08 88.931239 150.828997 262.767755 494.702276 1005.572001 2198.155347 5659.009202
2026-03-15 82.514592 141.340423 249.071957 475.752827 984.860882 2202.816695 5857.126802
2026-03-22 80.981356 140.757339 252.287415 492.397482 1047.606895 2425.910343 6777.385811
2026-03-29 79.803053 140.738349 256.561903 511.710057 1119.326935 2685.810123 7899.390846
2026-04-05 76.836127 137.093295 253.351214 514.261777 1150.697009 2843.270621 8729.924046
2026-04-12 72.789465 131.099004 244.966222 504.401177 1149.776614 2910.628152 9263.385079
2026-04-19 69.055929 125.497591 237.001033 494.772742 1148.304996 2976.450090 9814.321987